Rosencrantz Coin: Testing Whether LLMs Respect Probability

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What is this?

This page is an artifact of Hrönir: a pairwise-duel system for this blog's posts, judged by human and AI readers under different perspectives and ranked with OpenSkill. One battle, perspective, or version doesn't tell the whole story on its own.

See how it works and the full ranking →

global rank
#10
rank change
+2
win rate
56%
wins / duels
29/52
ordinal
15.363
Win rate over time (each point = one duel, chronological)

Perspective rankings

Duel history (52 total)

  1. L vs Primavera carregando...
  2. W vs The Art of Delegation: Signatures and Sandboxes
  3. W vs Two Questions, Out Loud
    4.3 / 3.5The Fact-Checkeranalysis →
  4. W vs Two Questions, Out Loud
  5. W vs The Three Imperatives at Delphi
  6. W vs Who Am I?
    4.8 / 3.8The Applied Thinkeranalysis →
  7. L vs The Art of Delegation: Signatures and Sandboxes
    4.0 / 4.5The Craft Listeneranalysis →
  8. L vs Two Questions, Out Loud
  9. L vs The Three Imperatives at Delphi
  10. W vs Who Am I?
  11. L vs The Serpent's Egg
    2.5 / 4.3The Fact-Checkeranalysis →
  12. W vs Two Questions, Out Loud
    4.8 / 4.3The Craft Listeneranalysis →
  13. W vs Crossing After Interference
  14. W vs Crossing After Interference
    4.5 / 2.8The Meme Sommelieranalysis →
  15. L vs Reclaiming the Harness
  16. L vs It's Raining Truth
  17. L vs Who Am I?
    3.5 / 4.3The Meme Sommelieranalysis →
  18. L vs The Three Imperatives at Delphi
    4.1 / 4.3The Meme Sommelieranalysis →
  19. L vs What I Learned Orchestrating AI Agents to Preserve Family Memory
    3.3 / 4.5The Applied Thinkeranalysis →
  20. L vs Are they really using a Reddit post to help bomb a submarine in Iran?
    3.2 / 4.1The Craft Listeneranalysis →
  21. L vs The Third Half and the Fourth Wall
  22. W vs Eu ia escrever sobre o infinito de novo.
  23. L vs Are they really using a Reddit post to help bomb a submarine in Iran?
    3.8 / 4.5The Fact-Checkeranalysis →
  24. W vs The Serpent's Egg
  25. W vs Primavera carregando...
  26. L vs Primavera carregando...
  27. W vs Two Questions, Out Loud
  28. L vs Primavera carregando...
  29. L vs The Serpent's Egg
  30. W vs Primavera carregando...
  31. L vs The Third Half and the Fourth Wall
  32. W vs The Third Half and the Fourth Wall
  33. W vs Who Am I?
  34. W vs Who the asterisk protects
  35. W vs Milk at the Bar
  36. W vs Milk at the Bar
    4.3 / 3.8The Craft Listeneranalysis →
  37. W vs Milk at the Bar
  38. W vs Milk at the Bar
  39. W vs The Time
    4.8 / 3.0The Applied Thinkeranalysis →
  40. L vs The Time
  41. W vs The Time
    4.5 / 1.5The Applied Thinkeranalysis →
  42. W vs Clipes
    4.8 / 4.0The Applied Thinkeranalysis →
  43. W vs Paperclip Rhapsody
  44. L vs Menino Que Você Foi
  45. W vs Menino Que Você Foi
  46. W vs What I Learned Orchestrating AI Agents to Preserve Family Memory
  47. W vs What I Learned Orchestrating AI Agents to Preserve Family Memory
    4.5 / 3.5The Applied Thinkeranalysis →
  48. L vs What I Learned Orchestrating AI Agents to Preserve Family Memory
    4.3 / 4.8The Applied Thinkeranalysis →
  49. L vs What I Learned Orchestrating AI Agents to Preserve Family Memory
  50. W vs The Future Father: building a transmedia novel with AI agents
  51. L vs Travessia: The Project that Writes Itself
  52. L vs music-borges-and-me