Ranking

Posts ordered by OpenSkill ordinal (μ − 3σ). Higher is better. Updated every build from .routines/hronir/.

How this works

Every post competes against another in a one-on-one duel. A reader (sometimes me, sometimes an AI model) reads both and picks the better one — then writes a short defense of that choice. The more duels a post wins, the higher it climbs. Posts with fewer duels have wider uncertainty and therefore rank lower until they've faced more competition.

2732duels run

107posts ranked

51.1duels per post (avg)

Aug 15, 2026last duel

1st place

The Third Half and the Fourth Wall

ordinal: 21.74
W/N: 37/55

2nd place

Who the asterisk protects

ordinal: 19.30
W/N: 34/49

3rd place

It's Raining Truth

ordinal: 18.48
W/N: 31/50

Full ranking, ordered by descending ordinal.

#	Post	win%	Δ	confidence	Elo	μ	σ	ordinal	W/N
1	The Third Half and the Fourth Wall	67%	·	high	1223	37.88	5.38	21.74	37/55
2	Who the asterisk protects	69%	·	high	1253	35.90	5.53	19.30	34/49
3	It's Raining Truth	62%	·	high	1198	34.99	5.50	18.48	31/50
4	Are they really using a Reddit post to help bomb a submarine in Iran?	60%	+2	high	1148	33.99	5.30	18.09	34/57
5	What I Learned Orchestrating AI Agents to Preserve Family Memory	63%	-1	high	1168	33.68	5.32	17.72	37/59
6	The Third Song (Moving Window III)	64%	+1	high	1163	32.80	5.34	16.79	36/56
7	Primavera carregando...	56%	+5	high	1067	31.95	5.32	16.00	30/54
8	Three Hammers Walk Into a Bar	57%	·	high	1088	31.86	5.30	15.96	33/58
9	The Pampa on the Circuit: A Mate with Boswell Digital	58%	-4	high	1160	31.74	5.33	15.75	33/57
10	Rosencrantz Coin: Testing Whether LLMs Respect Probability	56%	+1	high	1079	31.68	5.31	15.75	29/52
11	Who Am I?	57%	+4	high	1067	31.03	5.31	15.10	30/53
12	Two Questions, Out Loud	53%	+1	high	1048	30.96	5.30	15.07	29/55
13	The Art of Delegation: Signatures and Sandboxes	58%	+4	high	1083	30.57	5.30	14.65	30/52
14	The Crease-Free Fold Exists	63%	+4	high	1121	30.00	5.22	14.35	24/38
15	The Serpent's Egg	54%	-6	high	1130	30.30	5.32	14.33	30/56
16	The Agent That Doesn't Invent Verbs	57%	+8	high	1077	30.19	5.36	14.12	26/46
17	The Three Imperatives at Delphi	56%	-7	high	1089	30.12	5.34	14.10	30/54
18	Pontifex: A Novel Architecture for Semantic Probing	56%	-4	high	1066	29.90	5.32	13.95	33/59
19	Reclaiming the Harness	52%	-3	high	1078	29.71	5.32	13.76	29/56
20	SOUL.md — Funes	54%	+1	high	1089	29.14	5.30	13.24	27/50
21	Crossing After Interference	55%	+4	high	1042	28.88	5.31	12.94	29/53
22	Sinal que se Cumpre (Moving Window IX)	53%	+1	high	1066	28.71	5.29	12.84	29/55
23	The First Change	56%	+9	high	1063	28.05	5.30	12.15	35/62
24	The Ruliad Is Laughing	59%	+5	high	1098	27.90	5.28	12.06	37/63
25	Patents For Social Vulnerabilities: A Modest Proposal For Turning Criminals Into Consultants	55%	-6	high	1114	27.91	5.28	12.06	31/56
26	Trinta de Abril	55%	+1	high	1087	27.76	5.30	11.85	32/58
27	Reality Maintenance (Moving Window XII)	53%	+7	high	1043	27.70	5.31	11.77	30/57
28	Riobaldo e o Aleph	55%	-6	high	1084	27.48	5.29	11.62	29/53
29	O Medo do Louco	56%	-9	high	1100	27.46	5.29	11.59	30/54
30	Eu ia escrever sobre o infinito de novo.	51%	-4	high	1068	27.42	5.29	11.54	30/59
31	The Price of Saudade	56%	+6	high	1029	27.43	5.36	11.36	35/63
32	Milk at the Bar	48%	+20	high	954	27.37	5.34	11.36	25/52
33	Clipes	56%	-5	high	1089	27.25	5.31	11.33	31/55
34	Nonada	54%	+9	high	1036	26.69	5.37	10.57	27/50
35	Espelhos	50%	+29	high	903	26.62	5.38	10.47	31/62
36	The Jules API as a Harness Backend	55%	+12	high	1054	26.40	5.33	10.41	27/49
37	Borges and I	52%	-4	high	1074	26.23	5.34	10.22	33/63
38	Quando vier a Primavera	50%	+18	high	932	26.04	5.29	10.16	30/60
39	O Aleph	54%	+1	high	1067	27.04	5.67	10.03	25/46
40	O Tempo	52%	+22	high	972	25.94	5.32	9.97	29/56
41	Will AI Discover a New Conservation Law Before 2050?	56%	+17	high	1009	25.98	5.35	9.92	31/55
42	Chegue, irmão, chegue irmã.	57%	-11	high	1084	25.76	5.28	9.90	29/51
43	Two Cursors	42%	+4	high	978	25.62	5.29	9.75	24/57
44	Building Funes: How I Gave an AI Agent a Soul	52%	+11	high	984	25.70	5.33	9.72	26/50
45	The Future Father: building a transmedia novel with AI agents	48%	-15	high	1063	25.53	5.28	9.68	28/58
46	666	45%	-2	high	998	25.61	5.32	9.67	24/53
47	Paperclip Rhapsody	50%	-5	high	1001	25.20	5.34	9.18	28/56
48	On Rigor in Science	50%	+3	high	991	25.13	5.34	9.09	27/54
49	The Time	53%	+5	high	1007	24.85	5.31	8.91	29/55
50	Meditação guiada no sertão	55%	-9	high	1035	24.78	5.30	8.88	31/56
51	Census, Not Sample	53%	+6	high	1028	27.98	6.37	8.86	16/30
52	Escherian Sunrise (with Gödel)	49%	-7	high	994	24.76	5.32	8.81	26/53
53	Observer Error (Moving Window IV)	49%	-17	high	1025	24.71	5.31	8.78	31/63
54	O Verso Branquiceleste	53%	-1	high	1008	24.73	5.32	8.77	29/55
55	Fourteen Words	47%	-16	high	1016	24.61	5.28	8.76	27/57
56	Prayer to the Unfinished (Moving Window V)	49%	-7	high	990	24.69	5.32	8.74	28/57
57	Pattern Over Stuff	57%	-22	high	1064	26.15	5.87	8.55	24/42
58	Beatriz	50%	+7	high	959	24.40	5.33	8.41	27/54
59	We are all becoming lobsters	46%	-9	high	972	24.16	5.31	8.22	26/56
60	The Flute	49%	-14	high	1032	24.11	5.34	8.08	26/53
61	Stopping by Woods on a Snowy Evening by Robert Frost	49%	-23	high	1041	23.98	5.35	7.94	27/55
62	A Single Song	49%	+13	high	1004	23.81	5.30	7.93	26/53
63	O Ritual de Abril (Anos de Saudade)	50%	+5	high	1012	23.38	5.33	7.38	28/56
64	Menino Que Você Foi	47%	+7	high	958	23.37	5.34	7.34	25/53
65	`music-be-me-borges`	47%	-6	high	978	24.71	5.81	7.27	20/43
66	Spring loading...	44%	-3	high	946	23.30	5.35	7.26	25/57
67	The license that knocks	54%	—	high	—	25.98	6.25	7.23	15/28
68	O Regral	46%	-7	high	958	23.02	5.34	7.00	25/54
69	Pontifex Architecture Implementation Guide	53%	-2	high	1025	22.88	5.31	6.96	29/55
70	O Telefone da Agonia	40%	+8	high	876	22.69	5.33	6.71	23/58
71	Sense and Reference	44%	-5	high	957	22.71	5.35	6.65	23/52
72	O Sonhador e o Fogo	43%	-2	high	916	22.63	5.35	6.58	26/60
73	The Prologue	47%	+3	high	939	22.27	5.35	6.23	26/55
74	The Intelligible Void: On Hassabis, Silicon, and Events All the Way Down	43%	-1	high	929	22.10	5.30	6.18	21/49
75	Pierre Menard, Computational Researcher	49%	-6	high	966	23.50	5.78	6.15	18/37
76	Events All the Way Down: Notes on Process Architecture	44%	-16	high	976	22.19	5.35	6.13	24/55
77	Travessia: The Project that Writes Itself	46%	+12	high	893	21.82	5.32	5.85	25/54
78	These Lines	48%	—	high	—	24.53	6.29	5.67	13/27
79	John Gospel chapter I by Max Headroom	48%	-7	high	983	21.77	5.39	5.59	26/54
80	Inaugural Post: A Glimpse Inside My Mind	47%	+8	high	877	21.21	5.33	5.22	24/51
81	Xadrez	41%	-4	high	920	21.03	5.34	5.01	24/59
82	Mindfulness	53%	-8	high	1030	20.87	5.33	4.87	29/55
83	Entre Rascunho e Apagar	45%	·	high	908	20.73	5.29	4.87	26/58
84	Caminho	47%	·	high	932	20.91	5.35	4.85	26/55
85	Executed in Counterparts	45%	+1	high	931	21.25	5.51	4.71	20/44
86	Particles	45%	-5	high	915	19.94	5.35	3.88	29/65
87	Conceptual Document: The Chronicle of Franklin Baldo	47%	-7	high	956	20.62	5.63	3.73	18/38
88	The Magician and the Fire	41%	-6	high	899	19.62	5.34	3.61	19/46
89	Verne and the Identity-Repo Pattern: How AI Agents Remember	45%	-4	high	952	19.16	5.30	3.27	24/53
90	You (Plural)	44%	+7	high	909	21.55	6.12	3.18	16/36
91	(sem título)	42%	+3	high	855	19.21	5.34	3.18	23/55
92	The Amanuensis	48%	-13	high	981	18.95	5.30	3.04	26/54
93	(sem título)	42%	+2	high	843	18.67	5.33	2.68	23/55
94	Belief Engine (Labyrinth Song) (Moving Window VIII)	36%	-7	high	845	17.90	5.30	2.01	20/56
95	`data-portrait-2026`	75%	-5	low	1019	26.13	8.10	1.85	3/4
96	`music-borges-and-me`	35%	-5	high	851	19.31	5.83	1.83	15/43
97	`manifold-betting-ideas`	100%	-4	low	1015	26.21	8.19	1.62	1/1
98	Sussurros binários	41%	-2	high	839	17.46	5.33	1.46	22/54
99	Crystallizing from the Nothing	38%	-7	high	842	17.32	5.31	1.38	21/56
100	Universal Threshold	44%	+2	high	844	16.76	5.35	0.71	24/54
101	Borges and the hyperobject at the end of time	37%	-3	high	838	16.69	5.35	0.64	22/60
102	Librarian of the Infinite	36%	-3	high	849	15.81	5.30	-0.08	20/55
103	`autumn-balance-2026`	0%	-3	low	984	24.41	8.27	-0.41	0/1
104	(sem título)	38%	-3	high	836	14.34	5.34	-1.69	18/47
105	Veil of Infinity	35%	-2	high	784	14.18	5.33	-1.80	17/48
106	`may-in-seven-drafts-2026`	20%	-2	low	917	19.63	7.57	-3.08	2/10
107	Welcome to Events All the Way Down	28%	-2	high	763	12.08	5.40	-4.11	11/39